Rookies To Watch In The NFL

Like so many millions of young sports-crazed boys, inslice up some seams in the defense this fall. Plexico
my formative years I was a baseball card fanatic. ButBurress is gone so Pittsburgh is going to need other
one thing that I never understood about baseballplaymakers to step up. Also his size (6'5'' 256) will
cards is why rookie cards were always worth moremake him an inviting red zone target.Mike Nugent, K,
money than any other cards. I bring this up, becauseNew York JetsDoug Brien converted 83 percent of
I'm equally confused when it comes to rookiehis kicks in 2004, but was exposed the after a pair
contracts in the NFL.Why is it that rookies -- playersof missed game winning field goals missed against
who haven't accomplished anything in the league arePittsburgh last January. Tough crowd. Enter the kid.
paid exorbitant sums of money and put in positionsNugent won the Lou Groza Award last fall and was
to hurt their teams by holding out? Case in point:prolific at Ohio State. He was deemed worthy of a
two-time Super Bowl MVP Tom Brady signed asecond round pick by New York, the third highest a
contract extension that included $32 millionkicker has ever been drafted. New York's style lends
guaranteed, perennial All-Pro and future Hall of Fameritself to a lot of close games. That means Nugent will
Orlando Pace signed an extension with $18 millionface plenty of clutch kicks this season.Matt Jones,
guaranteed, and rookie quarterback Alex Smith - whoWR, JacksonvilleThe Jags pick of Jones 21st overall
was a one-year wonder at the football factory thatmay have been the shocker of the first round in
is Utah, and who hasn't taken a single snap in aApril. He is a converted quarterback out of Arkansas,
regular season game - signed a contract thatand will be expected to step right in and contribute.
guarantees him $24 million. Curious.This year featuredLast year's No. 1 pick Reggie Williams had an awful
more first-round holdouts and more acrimony in NFLrookie season, and besides 36-year-old Jimmy Smith
rookie negotiations than any in recent memory. Atthe Jags don't have much of a receiving corps. Byron
one point, players like David Pollack, Adam Jones,Leftwich could be ready for a breakout year, but if
Roddy White and Cedric Benson were projectedthat's going to happen than Jones is going to have to
starters for their respective teams. However, due intake advantage of the mismatches (he's 6'6'', 242)
part to their extended holdouts, as of right nowhe'll most likely face.David Pollack, LB, CincinnatiWhen
none of those players figure to crack the startingPollack was at Georgia, the coaches used to have to
lineup come Week One.The irony here is that thesetake him off the practice field because the offense
players are squabbling over a slight increase in moneyjust couldn't get anything done when he was out
now - and by slight I mean in percentages, not inthere. He was that dominant. The Bengals are hoping
actual figures - and by doing so jeopardizing theirthat he can make the adjustment to linebacker in
long-term earning potential. By holding out, thesetheir 3-4 alignment. Pollack held out for 20 days,
rookies are missing valuable acclimation time in trainingwhich could stunt his growth in the early part of this
camp, they're alienating themselves from theirseason. However, he will have the benefit of playing
coaches, teammates and fans, and earningalongside college teammate Odell Thurman. Thurman
reputations as people who are difficult to work with.was picked up in the second round by Cincinnati and
Furthermore, the track record for rookies that holdis also projected as a starting linebacker for the
out more than 10 days is a train wreck.The NFL is inleague's 26th-rated run defense.Alex Barron, OT, St.
the middle of negotiating a new collective bargainingLouisWhat a spot for Barron, college football's
agreement. I wouldn't be surprised (and am actuallyOutland Trophy winner last fall, to be in. He gets to
hoping for) a change that institutes a rookie payapprentice next to Adam Timmerman and on the
scale, similar to what the NBA has in place. In thesame line as Orlando Pace. Barron not only held out,
NBA system the contracts' length and worth arewhich pissed off head coach Mike Martz, but he
figured on a graduated scale and preset based onmissed his first practice after he signed with the
when players are picked. Starting this in the leagueteam - unexcused. You don't want to get in Martz's
would effectively end NFL rookie holdouts, and helpdoghouse. Just ask Kyle Turley.Cedric Benson, RB,
ensure that more money is invested in accomplishedChicagoAs a Bears fan I'm disgusted with this whole
NFL players as opposed to the potential-ladensituation. As if it wasn't bad enough that we had to
first-round picks that have a hit-or-miss history in thestare in horror at his freak out on draft day (you
league. I don't see where the NFLPA would have aknow, when he started panting, sweating, babbling
problem with this, given that about 80 percent of theand sobbing during his interview with Suzy Kolber
players in the league weren't No. 1 picks and a payafter he was selected fourth by the Bears) now we
scale would mean more money for them.Here's a listhave to wait for him to put his avarice aside and
of 10 rookies that I expect to have a definite,become a team player. He can make it up to me
tangible impact on their team's fortunes this season,with 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns.Roddy White,
for good or ill. I would wager that of the 10 teamsWR, AtlantaWhite held out for the first two weeks
that these players represent, the ones that get theof camp and, wouldn't you know it, he got injured
most production from their first-year players will be(ankle) in his first preseason game after his return.
the ones still alive in January.J.J. Arrington, RB, ArizonaI'm not saying that his injury had any physical link to
The Cardinals are the trendy sleeper pick this seasonhis hold out I'm just saying it's bad karma. Some in
in the weak NFC West. Arrington follows in theFalcons camp insist that Peerless Price is still the No. 1
footsteps of the NFL's leading rusher, Emmitt Smith,receiver in Atlanta, but still others surmise that he's
who retired after the 2004 season. That soundsgoing to get cut to free up cap space. The jury is still
more dramatic than it really is, since it's not like Smithout. But it's clear that big things are expected from
actually did anything in Arizona. Arrington topped theWhite, the second wideout Atlanta has taken in the
2,000-yard mark at Cal last fall, and has the speedfirst round in two years (Michael Jenkins in 2004).Fred
and shake to be a productive scat back. However,Gibson, WR, PhiladelphiaOK, so T.O. being back in
he is small (5'9'' 214 lbs.), he has fumbled twice in twocamp takes the onus off Gibson. However, who
preseason games, and it remains to be seen whetherknows how long that whine ass will hold up this
he can take an NFL pounding.Derrick Johnson, LB,season. Regardless, the Eagles lack a No. 2 option,
Kansas CitySo far I've heard from several sourcesand rumor has it that Gibson has looked really good
that this kid is just an animal. He was by far andthis August in camp. He was labeled as soft during his
away the best defensive player in the draft, but hetime at Georgia, but he could blossom under the
slipped to No. 15 and fell into the Chiefs' lap. Johnsonguidance of a team player like Owens (just
will join Sammy Knight, Patrick Surtain and Kendrellkidding).Honorable mention: Cadillac Williams, RB,
Bell in a retooled K.C. defense. If you can find anyoneTampa Bay; Erasmus James, DE, Minnesota; Jammal
dumb enough to take your wager, bet yourBrown, OG, New Orleans; Daryl Blackstock, LB,
mortgage on Johnson as the Defensive Rookie ofArizona; Roscoe Parrish, WR, Buffalo, Chris Henry,
the Year.Heath Miller, TE, PittsburghThe SteelersWR, Cincinnati.Doc's Sports Recent Articles:2005
have never really utilized the tight end in the passingPac-10 Preview2005 SEC Preview2005 WAC
game (average of 18 catches a year since 1998). InPreviewDoc's Sports Handicapping Service
fact, they'd rather have a sixth lineman than a pass1-866-238-6696Since 1971 Doc's Sports has been
catcher in the TE slot. Miller could change all of that.recognized as one of the leaders and most trusted
With sure hands and outstanding speed, Miller couldnames in sports handicapping information.